Month: May 2018

Yzj ShipBlg – [ Caution Ahead! Impending Break Down!]

Kelwin & Roy Yzj Shipbldg , , , , , , , ,
18th May, 2018, 8:27 AM

Yzj ShipBlg – [ Caution Ahead! Impending Break Down!]

Chart Source : Poemsview  18th May 2018

Yzj Shipbldg saw a nice rebound of close to 10% back in April when we spotted the rebound at $1.15. It shot up all the way to $1.26 hitting our second target in which we turned cautious as it was unable to break the $1.26 resistance. Remember to always have a trailing stop in order to protect your profits.

Fast forward to May, Yzj Shipbldg has seen a steady decline ever since it hit our $1.26 resistance.

A double bottom is reached but will it hold? Market sentiments are weak now and Yzj Shipbldg in our opinion might not hold.

Xd of $0.045 is today but we could only see support around $1.01 or even lower as there might be no near term catalyst for Yzj Shipbldg.

Lets watch and see how this turns out.

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UMS – [ Caught The Downside Since April , 3 Simple Reasons For The Turn, Read On ]

Kelwin & Roy UMS , , , , , , , ,
17th May, 2018, 9:54 PM

UMS – [ Caught The Downside Since April , 3 Simple Reasons For The Turn, Read On ] UMS 17th May 2018

Chart Source : Poemsview 17th May 2018

UMS a stock that was on our shorting list back on 27thApril. We were closely monitoring this electronic related counter  at $1.07  as it started to show signs of weakness.

3 Simple Reasons Why It Turned Down 

  1. It couldn’t break the downtrend line which we drew back on 27th April
  2. It broke our horizontal support of $1.07
  3. The moving averages were starting to slop downwards

With our simple analysis we alerted our EXCLUSIVE CLIENTS regarding UMS.

As they say, the rest is history. UMS has fallen to the 200ma as Blogged for all to see, BUT as there was an xd, our downside target has been shifted to $0.99 instead, just one more pip.

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Mandarin Oriental – [ $2.59 Target Met, No Hindsight, Read On]

Kelwin & Roy Mandarin Oriental , , , , , , , , ,
16th May, 2018, 8:36 AM

Mandarin Oriental – [ $2.59 Target Met, No Hindsight, Read On] Mandarin Oriental 16th May 2018

Chart Source: Poemsview 16th May 2018

Mandarin Oriental a counter related to the hospitality sector saw it moving up steadily over the last few days.

In fact, we blogged earlier on just last week when Mandarin Oriental was trading at $2.51 alerting of a potential upwards move as it has broken above its horizontal resistance.

A re-test of its break out point of $2.50 saw a successful close above that and the rest they say is history. Read more HERE to see our thoughts behind the move.

Mandarin Oriental seems to be resisted at around the $2.62 level in which we might see the price hover  around this level. If it manages to break this resistance, we might see $2.69 in the coming days.

Using Simple Technical analysis can give one a good advantage in the market as seen from our post. Don’t forget Mandarin Oriental trades in USD so managing your risk is important.

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IFast – [ Fast Enough To Catch It? 3 Simple Reasons For The Run ]

Kelwin & Roy IFast , , , , , , , ,
15th May, 2018, 8:32 AM

IFast – [ Fast Enough To Catch It? , 3 Simple Reasons For The Run ] Ifast 14th May 2018

Chart Source: Poemsview 14th May 2018

IFast provides investment solutions to financial advisers, financial institutions, insurance companies, pension fund managers, retail and accredited investors, and multi-national companies had a fantastic two days run up with close to 8% upside since our entry price.

More info about IFast HERE.

3 Simple Reasons for the possible run up

  1. IFast Broke above our long term downtrend line which we drew starting from june last year.
  2. IFast Broke above the 200 days moving average which is a respectable moving average that investors looks at
  3.  Volume started coming in on last Friday which was the HIGHEST for the year until Today.

With that we sent out our trade analysis to our exclusive clients informing them this  potential set up at $0.945

We are glad that is has hit our second target of $1.02 before some profit taking came in.

A huge volume today with a closing like this is not that ideal for now, we will like to see IFast close above $1.02 in the coming days in order for it to move higher if not more profit taking might drag it down.

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Sembcorp Marine – [ Up 5% Since Entry, 2 Simple Steps To Follow Now]

Kelwin & Roy sembcorp marine , , , , , , , , , , ,
14th May, 2018, 8:05 PM

Sembcorp Marine – [ Up 5% Since Entry, 2 Simple Steps To Follow Now]Sembcorp Marine 14th May 2018

Chart Souce: Poemsview 14th May 2018

Sembcorp Marine moved up 5% since our entry of $2.14 last wednesday. Oil remains above $70 which could continue to bring some momentum for our oil counters. Sembcorp Marine being one of the few blue chip counters listed on SGX hence it is one  of the traders go to when oil moves.

Our exclusive clients were informed of this trade step up since last wednesday at $2.14

2 Simple Steps Now: 

  1. We raise our upside target to $2.30
  2. Ensure protective stop of $2.18 area

With these steps we would ensure that we are well cushioned just in case of any wide swing. We would continue to push our protective stop if Sembcorp Marine pushes up.

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Sembcorp Marine – [ Caught The Turn Up, Hitting Our Target, Where To Next? ]

Kelwin & Roy sembcorp marine , , , , , , , , ,
10th May, 2018, 8:40 AM

Sembcorp Marine – [ Caught The Turn Up, Hitting Our Target, Where To Next? ]Sembcorp Marine 10th May 2018

Chart Source: PoemsView 10th May 2018

Sembcorp Marine, saw a nice upswing yesterday after President Trump pulled out from the Iran Nuclear deal.

Oil prices soared to a 3.5 years high as the exit raised the risk of conflict in the Middle East and casting uncertainty over global oil supplies at a time when the crude market is already tight.

As Iran is one of the major oil exporter and with further sanction on them there might be a reduction in Iranian crude supplies which could continue to drive the oil price up.

Sembcorp Marine being one of the few oil related stocks in Singapore saw it turned up yesterday as oil moved up.

As our exclusive clients, they were informed of the move in the morning when Sembcorp Marine was trading at $2.14 when it broke above the 50 days moving average.

The buying got stronger during the day and it managed to hit our first target of $2.19. A nice 2% upside for a days work.

Whats next? We have our eyes set on $2.24 and from there on we will evaluate the trade once again.

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Mandarin Oriental USD – [ Rare Uptrend Stock That Is Still In Tact ]

Kelwin & Roy Mandarin Oriental , , , , , , , , ,
9th May, 2018, 2:59 PM

Mandarin Oriental USD – [ Rare Uptrend Stock That Is Still In Tact ]
Mandarin Oriental  9th May 2018

Chart Source: Poemsview 9th May 2018

Mandarin Oriental a hotel chain that most of us would be familiar with. Our tourism sector have been churning out some good numbers so far for the year 2017. More details can be read here at our STB website

For this year STB forecasts tourism receipts to be in the range of S$27.1 to S$27.6 billion (+1 to +3%) and international visitor arrivals to be in the range of 17.6 to 18.1 million (+1 to +4%).  (Data from STB website)

With  that our hospitality sector would also tend to benefit.

Mandarin Oriental being in the hospitality sector with hotels all across the world can see it benefit from the increase in tourism too.

From the chart, Mandarin Oriental is still an uptrend stock being above all its Moving Averages. Its rare to find such a stock now.

It has broken above its $2.50 horizontal resistance line yesterday and did a re-test of the $2.50 again and is holding well now. Staying above the $2.50 level might see it might move to $2.59 then 2.63. We’ll put our stop loss at $2.42

Do take note that Man Oriental trades in USD.

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DBS – [ Hanging On To Support, Will It Fall? ]

Kelwin & Roy dbs , , , , , , , ,
9th May, 2018, 11:37 AM

DBS – [ Hanging On To Support, Will It Fall? ]DBS 9th May 2018

Chart source: Poemsview 9th May 2018

DBS had a good run after reporting a good set of results at the end of April. DBS and the two other banks UOB and OCBC being part of the STI component have been the main driver responsible for our STI to move up.

Now that results are out and dividends are given. What other catalyst could DBS have? Some weakness could be seen after DBS gone XD and we are now closely watching the 50 days moving average to see if the price can hold.

There is also a horizontal support so some confluence of support at around $28.51 area.  So a break below this area might see DBS heading down in the coming weeks.

Keeping a close eye on it and our targets are drawn.

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OCBC – [ Another New High, Time To Book Profits? ]

Kelwin & Roy OCBC , , , , , , , , , , ,
2nd May, 2018, 11:23 PM

OCBC – [ Another New High, Time To Book Profits? ]OCBC 2nd May 2018

Chart Source: Poemsview 2nd May 2018

OCBC has been climbing steadily in the recent weeks up over 8% since our first entry at $12.97 just in April.

In less than a month we saw OCBC making new high as banks being part of the STI component stocks were the main driver for our STI rally. OCBC results will be out really soon and we drew the resistance line which it faces now.

DBS reported a good set of results and it might be likely that OCBC might be reporting a good set of results too. But the real question, has OCBC ran ahead of its results. Could the dividend be holding OCBC up too.

We’re watching the uptrend resistance line closely and a trailing stop would be recommended in order to maximize profits.

The Moving Averages have started to cross over but of course if one were to enter now his or her entry might be considered late.

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Straits Times Index – [ May Day Special!]

Kelwin & Roy Straits times index , , , , , , , , ,
1st May, 2018, 11:47 PM

Straits Times Index – [ May Day Special!] Straits Times Index 1st May 2018

Straits Times Index 1st May 2018

Chart Source: Poemsview 1st May 2018

Straits Times Index had an amazing run since our POST on 18th April. It has broke our resistance of 3609 and made a 10 year high.

Our Straits Times Index currently seems to be one of the strongest market in the region so making full use of the strength is important.

Our banks the few blue chips which have been seem to lead the rally again with DBS reporting a good set of results on monday which sent the banks up making new high.

So whats next? Will this rally continue? Will our Straits Times Index continue its bullish run?

Its the start of May! Will the saying sell and go away in May come true this time round? Has it happened for the last few years?

Well, we will be having our quarterly market outlook very soon so do keep a look out for it . Ever since our previous outlook in Feb where we shared that the Straits Times Index could possibly hit 3600 and we’re there now!

For now zooming out  to the 15 year chart, our next possible upside target might be 3688 and our support would be 3580 before we access the situation.

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