We do apologize for the lack of updates to the public  but rest assured that our clients are getting full updates just like the one below.

We’re in Nov a seasonally stronger month and we have seen markets rebounding fiercely for the last week. We hope you have positioned yourself for this rebound and for the long term investors taking advantage of the pullback. We could be looking at more upside for the HK market while S&P approaches some resistance and might not rebound as much.

STI

Chart Source: DZH advisor 5th Nov 2023

The Straits Times Index broke out of its consolidated range with a general rebound in the blue chip. Banks led the gain BUT we got to be careful as DBS will be reporting their results before market opens on 6th Nov ( Monday). Outlook could be a little more cautious as the economy is slowing down and concerns about loan book growth could start impacting the banks. UOB fell after their results so the same fate could be for DBS.  OCBC will be reporting their results this coming friday(10 Nov) before market open.STI is currently at the resistance after covering the gap. We’re still positive for the week and could see STI make a break to 3186.  SATS will be releasing their results also on Friday so if you would take a trade do take note of that and try not to hold over the results.

HSI

Year to date the Hang Seng Index has been rather disappointing BUT this could be changing as China is trying their very best to kick start their economy. The HSI broke out from its mini consolidation and this could now bring us to the 18k level and even 18500. It has broken above its 20ema resistance too which is a positive sign as it has always been resisted by that. Many stocks like Tencent, Alibaba, Geely are all breaking out too. Don’t miss this opportunity as this is the first day that HSI broke out. Many shortist will have to start covering if the rally gets stronger which could then add to this rebound. Looking to a positive week.!

Head over to our FB page for more updates on the US markets which you don’t want to miss.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

Sept is over! Time to wake up? As repeated many times, Sept is seasonally weaker and we saw US market pulling back about 6-7%. No real surprises there with many issues coming up like Fed holding rates for longer, inflation creeping up and an impending govt shutdown. The CNN Greed & Fear Index is now very near the extreme fear side. Do you smell an opportunity?? Or are you as fearful as everyone?

Source: CNN Greed & Fear Index

This week, the Hong Kong market will be closed on Monday and China market will  be closed for the whole week due to China’s golden week.

STI

The Straits Times Index showed sign of resilience as it bounced off the 3180 support. It it currently resisted by the 20ema of around 3220. As the last quarter begins , we could see funds reshuffling their holding and could see our market being supported and moving up. As Hong Kong is closed on monday, we may see a slower start to the week and a challenge to 3250 is possible. Looking at banks to lend support to our STI.

HSI

The Hong Kong market will be closed on Monday and will resume trading on Tuesday. The Hang Seng Index has been defending the 17500 level for the past week and have shown a positive sign with a bullish candle on Friday. It went up over 2.50% which is encouraging but stopped at the 20ema. For this week, we could see the hang seng index overcoming this resistance to bring it to 18522. It has tested the 20 ema three times and could hover for awhile before a final break! Keep a close eye on it. The trend could be turning.

Head over to our facebook page to find out more about what to expect for the US markets.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin

It was an exciting week for the markets as Fed increase rates by 0.25% and bringing the Fed Fund rates to 5-5.25% . With this hike, Fed opens door to pause tightening cycle. Is this good news for markets? Our clients have been briefed and know what to do in an event of a pause. =) Want to know what happens when Fed pauses rates? Simply drop us a message.

Big tech results have also reported their results and so far all beating expectations which is a positive sign. Though slowing down which is very much expected, its a positive sign that results are still coming in above analyst expectations.

For this coming week , U.S CPI data on Wednesday and Thursday’sPPI data are among key data markets will be watching on further signs of inflation easing.

Markets are actually holding up well and there is risk on for the markets too. We would start to cautious if the gauge goes to extreme greed.

Could S&P500 finally break that strong resistance 4200? Head over to our Facebook to find out more. Meanwhile, we’ll dive more into the Straits Times Index and Hang Seng Index.

STI

Chart source: DZH International Advisor 7th May 2023

STI moved as we expected, moving up to the resistance(3295) as drawn and coming back down. The banks are the main draggers for the STI as interest rates are looking to stabilize meaning that their NIM might start coming down and with recession looming, this could be a double blow for the banks. But once the banks come off to a low enough level, thats when we’ll be entering once again.

For this week, STI is being resisted by the 5ema. We’re expecting more downside for STI to 3220 level which could then flush out the weak hands.

HSI

Chart source: DZH International Advisor 7th May 2023

HSI also moving to plan. Pulling back first and then moving up. HSI is more exciting now and we have re-drew some of the lines to have a clearer picture. It is currently at the 20ema resistance of around 20032 level BUT we do think that there is strength for the HSI to breakthrough. We should have seen the bottom for this round and onwards to our target of 20500-20600. Jia you!

Head over to our Facebook to find out more about view on the US markets.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

CPI data which market was eyeing turned out lower than expected last week which sent markets on an upwards swing. Despite Initial jobless claim coming in higher than expected, inflation data took center stage as more signs of easing ease inflation fears.

Also, big banks like JPMorgan, Citigroup and Wells Fargo all beat expectation which gave a boost to the markets too.

This week, focus will continue to be on earnings. Corporate results and outlooks will be taking on added importance especially during this season as investors will gauge whether all this interest rate hike is hurting earnings and spending. Consumer discretionary sector stocks like Tesla , J&J , Goldman Sachs are just a few big companies  reporting next week and market will take cue from these earnings.

STI

Source: DZH International Advisors 16th April 2023

STI came off during the start of the week as expected but as CPI data came out, market start creeping up BUT started showing weakness on Friday as profit taking set in. For this week, expecting a drift down first to a test of the 20ema of now at 3270. Stocks in the STI components also looks tired, stocks like Sembcorp Industries, SGX and the banks too. So waiting for more pullback before entering. OR, one can considering a quick short to take advantage of the pullback. 

HSI

Source: DZH International Advisors 16th April 2023

HSI also having a sideways consolidation for now but has closed above the 5ema which is a positive sign for now. We should be looking at more upside for this week given the rebound on Friday. Upside to 20700 first which is also around that uptrend line resistance. Geely, Xiaomi are some of the stocks we’re looking at for this week for more upside. Overall, sentiments flowing from US will help to determine the direction for HSI too.

Head over to our Facebook to find out more about view on the US markets.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

Markets ended flat for the US side as traders looked to book profits ahead of the jobs data and long weekend. Market has been trying to digest the data as recent data might give more insight to an impending recession which is spooking the markets. Focus might start to shift towards recession fears as the narrative about interest rates starts to wane off.

For this week, all eyes will be on the CPI and whether it will further seal the deal for hopefully a final rate hike of 0.25% when the Fed meets in May. A less than expected numbers could give a boost to the markets together with April seasonality. Expecting market to consolidate first before making any move.

STI

Source: DZH international Advisor 9th April 2023

STI rose overall for last week as April seasonally is a better month for the stock market as portfolio managers look to rebalance their holdings and prepare for the next quarter. What was holding up the index also was the banks as their dividend pay out continue to help give support for the index. Profit taking set in after a week’s gain as traders looked to book profit before the crucial jobs data which came in line on Friday.

DBS will be going xd on Monday which could cause some selling as those who held through for the dividends might be letting it go after. We might see some knee jerk reaction to the STI as profit taking. UOB will go xd end of April ( 28^th April)

The immediate support for the STI is around 3295. Immediate key psychological resistance is at 3330. A break of the support of 3295 which is also the uptrend support line could take us to around 3252 support level which we could be looking at for the week. After hitting that support, we could see support coming in for the markets as some pullback will be welcomed.

HSI

HSI looks like its rebounding from its recent correct and we could see some upside this coming week. It has closed above the 5ema which is a positive sign. For this week if HSI can remain above this 5ema further upside to 20680 then 21000 next. So far HSI is tracking US a little more taking cue from the world’s biggest market. HKEX looks stronger as its still above its 20ema which most tech stock like Baidu, Jd and Meituan are below.

Do be nimble this week as markets are not out of the woods yet.

Head over to our Facebook to find out more about view on the US markets.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

Yup! Its that time of the week! Fed will be meeting once again to decide rate hike and markets are generally expecting Fed to hike 0.25% for this round. What’s more important is to see Fed’s statement and if they will stop rate hike sooner than expected OR have a total demand destruction. It might get a little tricky from here as China opening up might cause some inflation pressure which in turn might have Fed increasing rates longer than expected. BUT so long as you are clear of your investing/ trading style, you should be able to navigate through this fine. For long term as always, dollar cost average at key support and after key events. For traders, be discipline and not trade through MAJOR EVENTs like this. S&P500 has come close to our upside resistance of 4100 and as trader with such an upcoming event, we would advise to take some profits off the table. DON’T BE A HERO! SAVE YOUR AMMO and live to fight another day.

BIG Tech companies will also be reporting next week. Meta, Apple, Amazon, Alphabet are all reporting next week.

STI

We didn’t update last week as we were celebrating Chinese New Year and took the chance to have an extended break with the family. We did have an interview with Zao Bao and shared the upside target for STI for the week at around 3386. It has since then hit our target and currently at the resistance. On target for our 3450 mark BUT do take note of the upcoming Fed meeting, always good to take some profits off the table first.

HSI

Everyone’s getting excited about China/HSI as we read about more and more brokerages upgrading HK! It has been a crazy ride ever since China reopen and for the month of Jan we have only seen 4 red days for HK! When the beast awakes, BEWARE! It looks like HSI might be testing 23400 and like most, we’re hoping for a pullback so more can join in the ride. For long term investors, scaling in a small batch at current price could also be one strategy and then wait for the pullback before making another move.

As we go into a crucial week, you don’t want to miss our take on S&P500 and Nasdaq 100.

So head over to our Facbook page for a read

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin& Roy