The Week Ahead Sept 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

25th September, 2022, 5:08 PM

0.75% rate hike and probably more pain ahead, as Fed remains its hawkish view which didn’t sit that well with the markets and we saw selling coming in throughout the week. As always we warned about going in before any big event and always waiting the day after before making an moves. Hopefully this saved those who were considering going LONG before a bloodbath happen.

As S&P500 comes very close to June low, this could give rise to an opportunity to add into our long term portfolio as this support becomes a significant point for the market to test. If this support holds, we might even see a rebound in the coming week. Head over to our Facebook page to read up more.

STI

STI also caved in on Friday as Singapore’s core inflation rises to 5.1% in August, inching towards 14-year high. Inflation is hitting countries hard and Singapore is not spared. We can see that STI broke the uptrend line on friday and a pullback to our second downside support of around 3190 might be seen in the coming weeks. Waiting for more pullback first.

HSI

HSI come down as expected and even broke the March low! Once again, looking ahead for Oct meeting before adding any position as market might drift a little lower and there is no real hurry to move in yet. We’re bullish on China/HK but looking for a better entry.

Do head over to our Facebook page for more updates on S&P500 and where it might head after the massive sell down. Updates for Nasdaq is also over there.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

 

The Week Ahead Sept 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

18th September, 2022, 4:30 PM

Another big week ahead as the Fed meets to decide on the interest rate. Fed will be meeting 20-21st Sept (Wed) and their announcement will be made 2am Thursday local time. Market is pricing in 0.75% hike anything more could results in another sell off. 1% might be possible after last week’s CPI data so don’t be surprise. What’s important is also their outlook, as market is also pricing in another 0.5% hike each for next two upcoming meeting in Nov and Dec. A more aggressive stand will also meet with more selling. As mentioned last week, whenever there is big data we would want to be more cautious as we don’t want to anticipate or take a HERO or ZERO approach to the markets.

STI

STI did see a rebound last week to our target of 3297 but as CPI data came out higher than expected, we saw markets sell off and that negative sentiment did affect our local markets too. A further pullback might be expected as market gets ready for the upcoming Fed meeting. Immediate support at the 20ema or 3249. Further downside might be to 3200. Remaining light before Fed’s decision as once again opportunity can be found after Fed’s meeting.

HSI

Unable to sustain its break above the downtrend resistance line, we see that HSI continues to slide and the next support level is at 18414. A slew of good news with tencent and netease gaining approval for their games couldn’t bring them up but saw more downside instead, Markets could still drift lower to our support before any temporary rebound. Looking forward to the upcoming meeting in Oct for further catalyst.

Do head over to our Facebook page for more updates on S&P500 and where it might head after the massive sell down. Updates for Nasdaq is also over there.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead Sept 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

11th September, 2022, 3:44 PM

Markets started off weak but regained some grounds towards the end of the week as bargain hunting started to come in. The KEY DATA to look out for this week would be inflation data! CPI data for Aug coming out this Tuesday night. If inflation remains high and over what market is expecting of 8.1% then we’ll probably meet with selling once again. As markets saw a rebound, disappointing data would result in another round of selling.

STI

STI 11th Sept 2022

A rebound came in slightly faster than expected as STI was pulling back very close to our 1st target. It broke the immediate downtrend line and rebound. First rebound target is 3297. Banks are leading the rebound with DBS being the leader this round. SIA is also looking good for a rebound.

HSI

HSI 11th Sept 2022

HSI reached our downside target of 18800 and started to show some strength rebounding off the support. It is currently resisted at the downtrend line and breaking above that then we might see more rebound to 20k. The biggest overhanging resistance would be China’s zero covid policy causing lockdowns and economic disruptions. The CCP is meeting in Oct which hopefully might shed some light on its covid’s policy if not market will be hard to move. Also, CPI coming out this week could put a brakes to the rebound so we got to watch that closely.

Do head over to our Facebook page for more updates on S&P500 and where it might head after the massive sell down. Updates for Nasdaq is also over there.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead Sept 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

4th September, 2022, 2:19 PM

Its been another brutal week for US with no end in selling. Ever since our post last week market still can’t find any strength and with ever rally it comes with fierce selling and with quantitative tightening doubling at the start of Sept. Markets will continue to look at inflation data and if there’s any surprises. Market will most likely sell off again.

STI

STI

STI also slowly drifting down to our target, it has been trying to resist the selling and putting up a strong fight despite all the negative sentiments surrounding it. More downside would be better to clear out weaker hands so that a rebound can come in.  3180 level would be the first level we’re watching for. Also, despite that we seen stocks like raffles medical, ifast all moving up. So there are still gems to look out for during this period.

HSI

HSI

HSI has pulled back to our support level of 19500 but it looks like more downside is ahead was BEARSIH action for Wednesday candle was spotted.  Warren Buffet’s sale of BYD also caused some rattle in the markets as investors dialed back on buying. We are likely to see HSI to 18800 level as market can’t rally despite some good news for the China market. Looking for more pullback before deciding on the next move.

Do head over to our Facebook page for more updates on S&P500 and where it might head after the massive sell down. Updates for Nasdaq is also over there.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead Aug 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

28th August, 2022, 4:35 PM

It was a brutal end to the week as markets tanked after Powell’s speech after he reiterate that more pain is ahead as Fed continues to look to increase interest rates. Its not something unexpected but markets didn’t like the tone and the massive sell down came. S&P500 gave up all its gain and broke its support which indicates more downside.

STI

STI fell at the start of the week but regained some grounds towards the end. Overall market still remains sideways to weak but with Friday’s sell down, some negative sentiment might spread over to Asia. So downside movement is expected for the week. But despite all these we managed to squeeze in some winning trades like Golden Energy. Waiting for more pullback in the market.

HSI 

HSI came roaring back after China stimulus and more hope of the end of Covid zero policies. It broke the downtrend line BUT with the selldown on Friday some negative sentiment might flow over to HK so some pullback should be expected. We might see a pullback to 19500 and if that holds we could see a real bounce.

Do head over to our Facebook page for more updates on S&P500 and where it might head after the massive sell down. Updates for Nasdaq is also over there.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

 

The Week Ahead Aug 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

21st August, 2022, 2:56 PM

After a month’s long rally, its about time for US markets to pullback. S&P500 indicators are currently in an overbought state and some pullback in the markets is expected and normal. GDP data for the US will be out this thursday  indicating if the economy is diving further into recession and could add further tension to the markets.

STI

STI saw a pullback as mentioned but has not gone down to our target yet so there might be more downside for the STI in the coming week. Banks are pulling back which will cause the index to pullback too. But despite some weakness, we saw tourism related stocks doing well for the last week before a pullback came. Looking for some short opportunity next week.

HSI

HSI hasn’t rebound last week as we expected but the rebound might be closing in as HSI looks to stabilize itself and build a base. The support of around 20k is holding and most tech companies have reported their results. Tencent despite missing estimates and its first time for revenue declining managed to still see its stock price move up. Alibaba is also holding up well and we might see some rebound coming soon too. Our upside rebound target for HSI is at 21262.

Head over to our Facebook for more updates on the US markets.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

 

The Week Ahead Aug 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

14th August, 2022, 2:55 PM

A positive week for most markets especially for the US market which exceeded our upside target. Smashing through our upside resistance of 4200 to end up close to 4300. China, taiwan tension, Covid lockdowns continue to weigh the HK markets down but lets take a closer look at it.

STI

STI continues to push upwards and those stock that we mentioned like the banks, yzj and First Resource all saw a nice rebound. For this week, we might see some retracement for the week as STI has moved up quite a bit ever since we highlighted it. Some pullback can be expected and is healthy in a rebound move. The moving averages are sloping up now which is a good sign if you’re on the long side! A pullback might be to around 3230 first. Will update more if we spot any opportunities. But HK looks interesting now. Read now more to find out.

HSI

An interesting set up is happening over at HK. Its been down despite US & Singapore being up due to covid lockdowns, China , US and taiwan tension.  But is now showing some signs of resilience. It is currently at the downtrend line and it might be looking to break out from that this week as market settles down. The 20ema which is very nearby would act as the bigger resistance so if it manages to overcome the 20311 resistance then we might see more upside in HK this week after the pullback we mentioned. HK tech stocks like tencent and alibaba also looks like its ready to rebound. Keep a close lookout.

Head over to our Facebook for more updates on the US markets.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead Aug 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

31st July, 2022, 9:49 PM

A BIG week went by and it yield a positive result for us. Fed increased rates by 0.75%, GDP shrank for the second month in the US and big tech results mostly came under estimates  BUT despite these challenges the S&P500 closed up for the week. Data is important but remember to watch the price action to see if its showing weakness. Despite all the data that came out, one might have expected markets to continue to come down but it did the total opposite which shows strength. This rebound does look like it has a bit more room to go before it hits the critical resistance of 4200 for the S&P 500.

HSI

Still no bullish sign for HSI as it continues it downwards move towards our 20k support.  We’re still waiting for more bullish signals to come out before any short term trades to be executed. There has been a string of negative news for HSI recently hence the pullback. The property scene in HK is not stable yet with property counters still not out of the woods. The next possible downside target might be 19200. Keeping watch.

STI

STI did much better than its peers in the region and outperforming the HSI for this week. It has reached our target upside resistance of around 3249 and pulled back ever since then. Banks led the way but gave up its gain on Friday as traders took profit after a good week. Counters like yzj shipbldg and First Resources also a nice upside leading it to hit our targets this week. Once a healthy pullback is done we might see STI moving back up to 3297 region. Be fast and nimble under such market condition.

Head over to our Facebook for more updates on the S&P500 and Nasdaq which has both shown strength through the week.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead July 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

24th July, 2022, 2:55 PM


For the past week, US markets had a rather good rebound with the S&P 500 breaking above its 50ema which is a rare move.

Its going to be a BIG week with many lots happening. Firstly, we’ve got interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve. Their meeting will take place over Tuesday and Wedensday US timing so interest rates results will be out on Thursday morning (2am) Singapore time. Market is looking at a 0.75% increase although 1% might be on the table given the higher than expected inflation data.

Secondly, we’ve got US GDP data coming out on Thursday night Singapore timing. The data could tell us if USA has gone into a recession which is typically marked by two declining quarters. If the US is in a recession, it might spark off another round of selling.

Thirdly, we’ve got big tech companies reporting their results too. Meta, Apple, Amazon are just some that will be reporting this week. Look over here to see when your company will be reporting. Do take note that if you’re TRADING over results it can be dangerous as any disappointment in the results could result in a heavy sell down like SNAP.

Its going to be a rather volatile week so do stay alert!

HSI

HSI pulled back to our support and for long term investors this presents a good opportunity ahead. As for the week ahead, with all the big data that is to come we would be cautious in the short term as we might see increase in volatility. Currently HSI is trying to form a base at around the 20k mark. Only with a break above our short term downtrend then HSI might continue its reversal. For now we are just watching for that break. Tech stocks in HK are also presenting a good opportunity for long term entry.

STI

STI showed surprise strength during the week and even managing to breakout of its 50ema. Banks mainly gave strength to the index but is facing near term headwinds at the downtrend line. Our next upside resistance is around 3249 area which will probably have some significant resistance.  Looking out for stocks that pullback like Sembcorp Industries. First Resources is also trying to find a base and is currently on our watch list.

Head over to our Facebook for more updates on the S&P500 and Nasdaq which has both shown strength through the week.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead July 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

17th July, 2022, 3:30 PM

Did you see what happen last week? CPI numbers were out and it was higher than expected coming in at 9.1% which sent the market down at the start BUT actually recovered during the week. US markets did show some resilience and ended up for the week. This is not reversal yet but does show that markets are temporary ignoring these data. US earnings are are also coming out with JP Morgan having a lower quarter while Citibank beating results. Its too early to tell now but we will want to watch for more earnings before making any conclusion. For now we can see that S&P 500 and Nasdaq100 has strong resistance at the 50ema.

HSI

Weakness spotted in HSI which is a good thing if you’re a longer term investor and have missed the first wave for the Hang Seng. It is approaching our 20k downside target. Increase in Covid cases, growth rate slowing caused the downside in HK last week. For this week we continue to look for opportunity for long term holders to take a position as HSI is coming close to the 20k mark. We’ll watch for a base to form if not our next support would be 19300.

 

STI

STI couldn’t break the resistance we drew and came off after that . Immediate support at 3089. STI still looks weak and mainly guided by the banks. If banks start to break their support, we might see STI test the low of 3040. STI continues to be in a range and our local market has been lackluster and there hasn’t been much happening. Opportunity lies in HK and US for now so focusing more on those markets.

Head over to our facebook for more updates on S&P500 and Nasdaq for the potential levels we are looking at.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy