The Week Ahead Aug 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

14th August, 2022, 2:55 PM

A positive week for most markets especially for the US market which exceeded our upside target. Smashing through our upside resistance of 4200 to end up close to 4300. China, taiwan tension, Covid lockdowns continue to weigh the HK markets down but lets take a closer look at it.

STI

STI continues to push upwards and those stock that we mentioned like the banks, yzj and First Resource all saw a nice rebound. For this week, we might see some retracement for the week as STI has moved up quite a bit ever since we highlighted it. Some pullback can be expected and is healthy in a rebound move. The moving averages are sloping up now which is a good sign if you’re on the long side! A pullback might be to around 3230 first. Will update more if we spot any opportunities. But HK looks interesting now. Read now more to find out.

HSI

An interesting set up is happening over at HK. Its been down despite US & Singapore being up due to covid lockdowns, China , US and taiwan tension.  But is now showing some signs of resilience. It is currently at the downtrend line and it might be looking to break out from that this week as market settles down. The 20ema which is very nearby would act as the bigger resistance so if it manages to overcome the 20311 resistance then we might see more upside in HK this week after the pullback we mentioned. HK tech stocks like tencent and alibaba also looks like its ready to rebound. Keep a close lookout.

Head over to our Facebook for more updates on the US markets.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead July 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

24th July, 2022, 2:55 PM


For the past week, US markets had a rather good rebound with the S&P 500 breaking above its 50ema which is a rare move.

Its going to be a BIG week with many lots happening. Firstly, we’ve got interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve. Their meeting will take place over Tuesday and Wedensday US timing so interest rates results will be out on Thursday morning (2am) Singapore time. Market is looking at a 0.75% increase although 1% might be on the table given the higher than expected inflation data.

Secondly, we’ve got US GDP data coming out on Thursday night Singapore timing. The data could tell us if USA has gone into a recession which is typically marked by two declining quarters. If the US is in a recession, it might spark off another round of selling.

Thirdly, we’ve got big tech companies reporting their results too. Meta, Apple, Amazon are just some that will be reporting this week. Look over here to see when your company will be reporting. Do take note that if you’re TRADING over results it can be dangerous as any disappointment in the results could result in a heavy sell down like SNAP.

Its going to be a rather volatile week so do stay alert!

HSI

HSI pulled back to our support and for long term investors this presents a good opportunity ahead. As for the week ahead, with all the big data that is to come we would be cautious in the short term as we might see increase in volatility. Currently HSI is trying to form a base at around the 20k mark. Only with a break above our short term downtrend then HSI might continue its reversal. For now we are just watching for that break. Tech stocks in HK are also presenting a good opportunity for long term entry.

STI

STI showed surprise strength during the week and even managing to breakout of its 50ema. Banks mainly gave strength to the index but is facing near term headwinds at the downtrend line. Our next upside resistance is around 3249 area which will probably have some significant resistance.  Looking out for stocks that pullback like Sembcorp Industries. First Resources is also trying to find a base and is currently on our watch list.

Head over to our Facebook for more updates on the S&P500 and Nasdaq which has both shown strength through the week.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead July 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

10th July, 2022, 4:14 PM

We like to take this time to wish our Muslim friends a Selamat Hari Raya Haji! Hope  you’ll have a blessed time with friends and family.

Us Core consumer price index will be coming out this Wednesday and eyes will be on inflation data once again. US had a relatively strong rebound for the week and is approaching resistance. If inflation manages to ease off and not go crazy then we might see some more rebound. Markets are expected to remain volatile so traders got to put their best foot forward for the week!

HSI

As previously mentioned HK pulled to our first support at the around horizontal support and also around the 20ema. It started to have some rebound and for this week we might see HK breaking that very short term downtrend line resistance. We’re looking for a re-test of 22365 for this week with HK gaining strength. Some major tech stocks like Tencent is also looking on the upside. We continue to remain bullish on HK markets.

STI

Singapore markets will be closed on Monday due to Hari Raya Haji and will resume trading on Tuesday. Meanwhile our markets continues to be in a range currently trading near the upper resistance range of around 3131. STI might attempt to break that resistance this week but take note of the volume for a more convincing break. SATS is on our radar as this stock is showing some resilient.

Head over to our facebook for more updates on S&P500 and Nasdaq for the potential levels we are looking at.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead July 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

3rd July, 2022, 3:51 PM

Markets saw another roller coaster week with a strong start and then slamming down during the week. Hong Kong once again being the outperformer. Its the start of the second half of the year and earnings will be coming out starting Mid july which will set the tone for the markets. Inflation will hurt the overall results causing a compression on earnings and a beating on price too. Any big miss might send the stock plunging and for re-rating too. So do ensure to keep a look out for your favourite stock during this week.

HSI

HSI 3rd July 2022

It rebounded to our projected target for the week and became resisted. A pullback is healthy to us and an even healthier if it manages to pullback to around the 20k level. As for this week, we’re probably looking at 21262 level for support first as there are a few confluence of support there like the 20ema. Hk is in a bit of a range and for the long term investors who missed the first wave, look to buy on dips at the support level. HK is displaying a higher low so it has to maintain this for further upside.

STI

STI 3rd July 2022

A slow week for STI as it continues to lag behind. It’s been in a range for the past few weeks and nothing exciting for our local markets yet. We’re just watching to see if the support of 3075 can hold for the week. So far, its been slow and there is a possibility of it breaking as our banks are also pricing in a recession with a slower loan book.

Head over to our facebook for more updates on S&P500 and Nasdaq for the potential levels we are looking at.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead June 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

5th June, 2022, 4:29 PM

The Week Ahead June 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Market around the world didn’t end Friday on a high note as traders looked to book profits. Oil broke out during the week as market tried to find footing despite Euro’s inflation numbers coming out hotter than expected. Inflation number is still what market is looking out for as a higher inflation might force the hands of fed to increase interest at a much higher than anticipated pace.

This coming Friday would see the Core CPI numbers which measures the changes in the price of goods and services, excluding food and energy  a sense of where inflation is.

STI

STI tried to break above our resistance but didn’t manage to have a clean and successful break. We added in an extra short  term uptrend line which might act as a support. STI is still trying to gain some form of momentum but if the upside can’t hold then we need to be cautious.  For the moment, we still see opportunity on the long side as we from our previous post on the Electronic sector with AEM taking the lead and UMS having a breakout on Friday. OLAM in particular is also doing well. So there are pocket of opportunities!

HSI 

HSI has reached our upside target and beyond before a pull back. The rebound has came in as previously mentioned very good given current market conditions. We have drawn a short term uptrend line which will act as the support for any downside for now. For this week, we’re expecting some consolidation for HSI and unless we see the 5ema being broken above then we’ll look for a long opportunity. The good thing about HSI is that its making a higher low and it shouldn’t pullback beyond 20k if not our uptrend is invalid.

Head over to our facebook for more updates on S&P500 and Nasdaq for the potential levels we are looking at.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead May 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

8th May, 2022, 4:28 PM

The Week Ahead May 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Another volatile week as US markets swung to both the up and down and settled down at the end of the week. Markets around the world continue to face downwards pressure as Fed increased rates last week and the 10 year yield curve crossed over the 3% mark. We continue to watch and wait for more signals for the  US markets.

Key Events to Watch For 

US companies continue to report their results this week and also on Wednesday, the US CPI numbers will be released.

Wednesday – CPI numbers

Thursday – US PPI

Markets will probably be watching these numbers to see how inflation has been so far.

STI

STI was in range for the week and is now sitting at our support of around 3297. The support doesn’t look like it might hold as market hasn’t found a firm footing yet. The next downside support is at around the 3250 area. But meanwhile, there are still pocket of stocks still moving up like the coal related stocks. Our local banks are also taking a break and might see further downwards momentum.

HSI

HSI also came off to the support of 20k once again and it does not seem like it’ll hold at this price. Short term as mentioned we’re not bullish as yet as HSI can’t break the downtrend line and can’t remain above the 5ema too. Downside support at around 19490 level as HSI continues to find a base.

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

24th April, 2022, 8:30 AM

The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Dow Jones PLUNGES more than 900 points for its worst day since 2020! US markets are having a rough time and if you’re an invested in the US markets, its natural to feel fearful or SIAN. Fed’s Powell spooked the markets as he said a 50 basis point for may hike is very possible which sent market into a nose dive.

As retailers are scrambling for the exit, we hope you’re invested into good solid companies that can withstand the test of time. TESLA is one of them, despite all that the market is going through, we can see that TESLA is still standing strong. More earning results coming out this week so be alert. To find out more when are the other companies reporting results, you can head over HERE. 

STI

And STI has pulled back to 3300 level as mentioned last week. After testing that level some rebound came too. Even though STI came off, we still saw individual stocks moving up and hitting our targets.  It is currently resisted around the 3360-3371 level. With US very weak closing, we might see some negative sentiments flowing in first. With Singapore relaxing more of its measure and going back to pre-covid norms, we might see STI inching out a gain this week.

HSI

HSI also came off as expected. It covered the gap to come down close to 20k support level. We’re still not bullish  for the short term and would be looking out for signs of a reversal first. If we look closely, the 5ema has been pinning down the index and it hasn’t been able to stay above that. In addition, the downtrend is also pinning it down. So waiting for further signal to turn short term bullish. For long term investors, once again, opportunities arises!

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

 

 

The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

17th April, 2022, 4:18 PM

The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Another volatile week as US market kicks off earning seasons. We have warned that markets are not of the woods yet as market are still trying to find their footing and have not gained any strong grounds yet.  BOA, J&J, TESLA and many more other companies will be reporting their first quarter results. This is key to see as it could set the tone for the year as companies grapple with supply side constraints and with a rising interest rate environment too. This might also lead to markets fluctuating as market takes some cue from earnings.  To find out more when are the other companies reporting results, you can head over HERE. 

STI

As mentioned last week, we expected more pullback for the STI and it has come true. STI has pulled back to 3340 level and we might see further pullback to 3300. This level might see more bargain hunting and we’ll be waiting. Don’t forget although the index might be down, individual stocks can still move up. Oil and coal related stocks are still moving up!

HSI

Weakness also flow into the Hong Kong markets as previously mentioned but with some trickle of good news where the Chinese government finally gave approval for some games. Not turning bullish unless we see more convincing signs, like staying above the downtrend lines. Our downside target remains at around 20000.

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

10th April, 2022, 4:12 PM

The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Fed will shrink balance sheet ‘rapidly’ and it also sent the market into a rapid descend during the week. As fed continues to tighten monetary policy through a series of interest rate increases and by starting to reduce the balance sheet, markets didn’t take it that well and started selling off especially the tech related sector.

We’re not out of the woods yet as key indices are near key support levels and we need to see support before making any moves.

STI

As mentioned, STI came off and went down to the 20ema support. It saw a slight rebound but we’re not convinced of it yet and might be heading lower to 3340 first. Although the STI is down, there are some pocket of stocks that are up like Sembcorp Industries, coal related stocks which we are glad we have caught them. So do look at individual stocks to see their strength too.

HSI

HSI moving in a bit of sideways unable to push higher but yet not pulling lower. The consolidation band is around 21260 level to 22397 area and we’re looking to see where it’ll go for now. Odds are for it to shift lower for a better entry unless there is strength to break that downtrend line and then the resistance of 22397. Looking for a clearer picture for the HSI.

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

The Week Ahead March 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

27th March, 2022, 1:03 PM

The Week Ahead March 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Post Fed hike and markets have generally trend higher. Ever since S&P 500 has broken above one of its key resistance level of 4300, we have seen it moved up another 5% to touch the 100days simple moving average. A very nice gain for the past week or so. This post will be slightly shorter as Covid has taken over the household and rest and recover is the order of the day.

STI

STI has hit our 3402 upside resistance and find see it push up further this week. Recovery stocks were in play as Covid measures were eased and borders measure further lax as we welcome more international travelers. This caused the 3 S stocks like SATS, SIA and SIA Engineering to FLY. We caught SIA Engineering and SATS which made our client’s week much happier! Electronic stocks also saw recovery as previously mentioned and  AEM led the pack in pushing it up.  Next upside resistance at around 3453 and downside support at 3349

HSI

Some pullback in the HSI which is healthy as there was a huge rebound. If HSI pullbacks to around the 20k mark which covers the gap and stays around there. This would signal a good higher low in progress! Will be keeping a watch out for that as the HK markets now looks more promising! Tencent posted a set of results that was up to analyst expectation but with slower growth as a concern this caused some pullback in the stock. Waiting for a base to be built before any long entry.

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy