The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Kelwin & Roy STI , , , ,
24th April, 2022, 8:30 AM

The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Dow Jones PLUNGES more than 900 points for its worst day since 2020! US markets are having a rough time and if you’re an invested in the US markets, its natural to feel fearful or SIAN. Fed’s Powell spooked the markets as he said a 50 basis point for may hike is very possible which sent market into a nose dive.

As retailers are scrambling for the exit, we hope you’re invested into good solid companies that can withstand the test of time. TESLA is one of them, despite all that the market is going through, we can see that TESLA is still standing strong. More earning results coming out this week so be alert. To find out more when are the other companies reporting results, you can head over HERE. 

STI

And STI has pulled back to 3300 level as mentioned last week. After testing that level some rebound came too. Even though STI came off, we still saw individual stocks moving up and hitting our targets.  It is currently resisted around the 3360-3371 level. With US very weak closing, we might see some negative sentiments flowing in first. With Singapore relaxing more of its measure and going back to pre-covid norms, we might see STI inching out a gain this week.

HSI

HSI also came off as expected. It covered the gap to come down close to 20k support level. We’re still not bullish  for the short term and would be looking out for signs of a reversal first. If we look closely, the 5ema has been pinning down the index and it hasn’t been able to stay above that. In addition, the downtrend is also pinning it down. So waiting for further signal to turn short term bullish. For long term investors, once again, opportunities arises!

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

 

 

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The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Kelwin & Roy Straits times index , , , ,
17th April, 2022, 4:18 PM

The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Another volatile week as US market kicks off earning seasons. We have warned that markets are not of the woods yet as market are still trying to find their footing and have not gained any strong grounds yet.  BOA, J&J, TESLA and many more other companies will be reporting their first quarter results. This is key to see as it could set the tone for the year as companies grapple with supply side constraints and with a rising interest rate environment too. This might also lead to markets fluctuating as market takes some cue from earnings.  To find out more when are the other companies reporting results, you can head over HERE. 

STI

As mentioned last week, we expected more pullback for the STI and it has come true. STI has pulled back to 3340 level and we might see further pullback to 3300. This level might see more bargain hunting and we’ll be waiting. Don’t forget although the index might be down, individual stocks can still move up. Oil and coal related stocks are still moving up!

HSI

Weakness also flow into the Hong Kong markets as previously mentioned but with some trickle of good news where the Chinese government finally gave approval for some games. Not turning bullish unless we see more convincing signs, like staying above the downtrend lines. Our downside target remains at around 20000.

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

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The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Kelwin & Roy Straits times index , ,
10th April, 2022, 4:12 PM

The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Fed will shrink balance sheet ‘rapidly’ and it also sent the market into a rapid descend during the week. As fed continues to tighten monetary policy through a series of interest rate increases and by starting to reduce the balance sheet, markets didn’t take it that well and started selling off especially the tech related sector.

We’re not out of the woods yet as key indices are near key support levels and we need to see support before making any moves.

STI

As mentioned, STI came off and went down to the 20ema support. It saw a slight rebound but we’re not convinced of it yet and might be heading lower to 3340 first. Although the STI is down, there are some pocket of stocks that are up like Sembcorp Industries, coal related stocks which we are glad we have caught them. So do look at individual stocks to see their strength too.

HSI

HSI moving in a bit of sideways unable to push higher but yet not pulling lower. The consolidation band is around 21260 level to 22397 area and we’re looking to see where it’ll go for now. Odds are for it to shift lower for a better entry unless there is strength to break that downtrend line and then the resistance of 22397. Looking for a clearer picture for the HSI.

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

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The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Kelwin & Roy Stock Market
3rd April, 2022, 4:37 PM

The Week Ahead April 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Yield curve inversion causing some pullback in the markets but is this pullback good enough? Will recession be hitting soon? Read our view on S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to find out more.

STI

STI has hit our upside resistance of 3454 and started to pullback. A healthy pullback is good as most of our stocks have hit their targets and traders are starting to complain prices being expensive. A pullback to the 20ema is not too much to ask for as we start scanning for stocks to re-entry again! Want to know what stock we’re looking at next?

Be our EXCLUSIVE CLIENT and be alerted earlier to not miss out!

HSI

HSI saw a  rebound to our resistance and with a bullish candle on friday plus good news with China considering letting the US check their audits. China ADRs probably might have some upside. A larger pullback is more helpful as this brings more confidence to trade the HK market. But if HSI manage to break that 22339 resistance we might see it move up to 23647, not the best of situation but as traders, we have to learn to go with the flow.

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

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The Week Ahead March 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Kelwin & Roy Straits times index , , , ,
27th March, 2022, 1:03 PM

The Week Ahead March 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Post Fed hike and markets have generally trend higher. Ever since S&P 500 has broken above one of its key resistance level of 4300, we have seen it moved up another 5% to touch the 100days simple moving average. A very nice gain for the past week or so. This post will be slightly shorter as Covid has taken over the household and rest and recover is the order of the day.

STI

STI has hit our 3402 upside resistance and find see it push up further this week. Recovery stocks were in play as Covid measures were eased and borders measure further lax as we welcome more international travelers. This caused the 3 S stocks like SATS, SIA and SIA Engineering to FLY. We caught SIA Engineering and SATS which made our client’s week much happier! Electronic stocks also saw recovery as previously mentioned and  AEM led the pack in pushing it up.  Next upside resistance at around 3453 and downside support at 3349

HSI

Some pullback in the HSI which is healthy as there was a huge rebound. If HSI pullbacks to around the 20k mark which covers the gap and stays around there. This would signal a good higher low in progress! Will be keeping a watch out for that as the HK markets now looks more promising! Tencent posted a set of results that was up to analyst expectation but with slower growth as a concern this caused some pullback in the stock. Waiting for a base to be built before any long entry.

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

 

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It’s All About Recovery Play Today

Kelwin & Roy Comfort Delgro , , , , , , , ,
24th March, 2022, 7:51 PM

It’s All About Recovery Play Today

It was a good day out in our Singapore market as Prime Minister Lee highlighted a few new measures with regards to adapting and living with Covid-19. Group sizes doubled to 10 and less testing for boarders as Singapore continues to open up. Also, more are encouraged to start returning back to office.

With these new relaxed measures, we saw recovery stocks came into full force. Stocks like ComfortDelgro, SATS, SIA Engineering all came roaring back to life! SATS made it to the top gainer under the STI component.

So what’s next? What are some of the targets we have for some of these stocks? Let’s start with ComfortDelgro first.

 

As govt encourages up to 75% of the employee to return back to office, this would have an increase demand in transport services. Trains, taxi, private hirers would see an increase in demand in the coming weeks. For Comfortdelgro, we might see if move towards $1.55 as it looks to break that $1.50 resistance. The mid term target is $1.58 which is around that gap resistance too. An Alert was sent to our clients on 16th March when Comfort was trading at $1.40.

SATS

SATS saw a nice upswing of 5% just today enabling us to hit our first upside target of $4.10. We’re just 1 cent shy of our second target which we believe it’ll hit very soon! As air and sea travel continue to open up , SATS would be a beneficiary of these opening up. $4.29 and $4.41 are the eventual targets we’re looking at.

SIA Engineering

SIA Engineering is another stock we spotted and alerted our active traders just THIS MORNING! It manage to hit our first target of $2.32 and with an increased in volume today we might see the momentum carry on for alittle while more. Next upside target we’re looking at is $2.39 then $2.46.

While there are other recovery stocks like SIA, SBS and hospitality stocks like Ascott Trust, FraserHospitality. But of course we’ll have to be selective about the stocks we choose as there is not much point in sending everything and clients not being able to take action on any. So with our stringent criteria, the above are the few which we have selected for our clients.

Want to be alerted earlier before the breakout?

Want to know what stock we’re looking at next?

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Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

 

 

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Are Electronics Stocks Rebounding?

Kelwin & Roy AEM , , , , , , ,
23rd March, 2022, 6:23 PM

Are Electronics Stocks Rebounding?

As market continue to roar back our local electronic stocks are looking back in play too.

These are four of the electronic stock that we’re looking at and one of it has already hit our first target.

UMS has built a nice base around the $1.10 level  and has seen a nice rebound. Current resistance at $1.22 which might see it break above in the coming days as momentum continues to build. There are some levels which we have drawn for the upside resistance!

 

AEM actually formed a double bottom around 4th march but due to the war in Ukraine and the rise in interest rates, we decided to hold back as there could have been more downside for AEM. But news of Temasek Holdings increasing their stake in AEM saw a gap up which we didn’t chase it. It crossed the 20ema which was a positive sign but as we were having a few more counters on hand, we gave this a missed! AEM does look like it has more room on the upside to that downtrend we drew and maybe even to $4.89. Volume is increasing which could help drive the momentum up.

 

Frencken hasn’t moved much and we’re looking at it with interest. =) Volume increased with a small bar! Watching out tomorrow.

Want to be alerted earlier before the breakout?

Want to know what stock we’re looking at next?

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Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

 

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Wilmar – [$5 In Sight? ]

Kelwin & Roy Wilmar , , , , , ,
23rd March, 2022, 2:19 PM

Wilmar – [$5 In Sight? ]

Wilmar broke out of its $4.77 horizontal resistance line and moved up further. We’re seeing a re-test of this resistance turn support and if it manages to hold steady, we might see Wilmar testing the round number resistance of $5. There was a huge volume increase yesterday and with today’s pullback on lighter volume is considered healthy to us.

Wilmar has been a counter we’ve been eyeing since 2 months ago in Feb was it was just trading at $4.43. It has since then moved up over 10% and might be looking to challenge the $5 resistance which more profit taking might come in. Looking out for that!

Want to be alerted earlier before the breakout?

Want to know what stock we’re looking at next?

Be our EXCLUSIVE CLIENT and be alerted earlier to not miss out!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

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The Week Ahead March 2022 – [ Has Hong Kong Reached A Bottom? ]

Kelwin & Roy Straits times index , , , ,
20th March, 2022, 4:32 PM

The Week Ahead March 2022 – [ Has Hong Kong Reached A Bottom? ]

Two very important announcements  took place over the week which was China coming up to pledge support for the markets and Fed announcing rate hike and the future hikes that is to come. All in all, it was a crazy week as market saw a nice recovery throughout.

HSI

Paying a little more attention to this particular market as China has come up to pledge support for the market and would soon wind down on the regulatory front. It also pledge help to support companies listed overseas as delisting concerns sent HK tech stocks plummeting through the week. This also came on the back when JPMorgan China Internet analysts Alex Yao and team said this sector is “univestable” for the next 6-12 months. And before you know it, the market rallied over 16%. =)

So, how Hong Kong Market bottomed? That’s the question we’ve been getting throughout the week. In a nutshell, nobody knows BUT with further investigation, we can probably see a change in trend to the upside and these are some of the points for us to see if it has bottomed.

  1. Moving Averages , a good way to tell a trend is by looking at the moving averages. For now, we can see that the 50ema is still above the 20ma which still signal a downtrend. WAITING for a crossover of the 20 over the 50 for a confirmation in trend change.
  2. News of China supporting the market on Wednesday which might now help to build a base around the 18200 mark.
  3. For a sign of market bottom, a re-test near the low would show sign of strength and this could then provide a higher low in the making.
  4. Also the next bounce up should be higher than the 20ema of around 21550 to provide a higher swing high.

When we see these in play, we would then be more confident of a market bottom.

On a side note, don’t be too obsessed in finding the bottom as we all KNOW by now, nobody can find that bottom. Once might be lucky and the good old dollar cost average AND proper allocation into individual stock. So no real point in mentioning hey, i managed to grab Alibaba at HKD$73 or Tencent at $300. If you consistently are able to do that, PLEASE give me a call, you got my number. =)

Like an naggy parent, invest into QUALITY stocks and even with a downfall, you can still sleep in peace at night. UNLESS you have wrongly allocated into a stock then you probably won’t sleep that well.

STI

We’re pleased with our alerts on the Singapore market for the last 2 months even though HK & US were down, we managed to achieve a high 90% accuracy in our alerts to our clients. With fed increasing the interest rate, it is no surprise that LOCAL BANKS have moved up after the announcement. We’re glad we have positioned our clients for this ride once again.

Electronic stocks are also looking for a rebound but we will want to be nimble for these stocks. More upside for our STI might be seen from the chart above.

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

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The Week Ahead March 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Kelwin & Roy Stock Market, Straits times index , , , ,
13th March, 2022, 4:20 PM

The Week Ahead March 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Fed will be meeting this week and we’re most likely going to see an increase in rates. What is more important is the fed’s posture, how many times they’re looking at for hike and how fast. An increase in march is more or less a given only by 0.25% or 0.5%. With inflation at sky high, fed is also under pressure to tame inflation.

With the war that is happening, this has really changed the game plan and even the outlook of the economy. With the ongoing sanctions, oil prices increasing this has increased the  chances of a bear market. The increase in commodity prices will have ripple effects on the economy and markets could see a slow down for the time being. We wouldn’t want to use too much leverage in such times as the chances of a bear market has increased.

Key Events to Watch For 

Development over in Ukraine is key as its hard to tell how this war will end and how long more will the fighting carry on. Markets continue to remain on edge as this war does look different from the others.

Eyes will be on the upcoming Fed Meeting from 15-16th March and decision on rate hike will be announced on Thursday morning 17th March singapore time. Near term volatility is expected.

Reduced leverage, stick to your trading plan with a tight stop loss. Now is not the time to be aggressive or a hero.

Market continues to be near the extreme fear region which investor might want to take advantage of.

Technical Levels to Watch For This Week

STI

Singapore market performing the best for us with most of our Singapore targets hitting their targets despite the negative market sentiments. We’re cautious this week as Fed is set to increase interest rates hence for trading position we wouldn’t be aggressive but would rather adopt a wait and see approach.

HSI 

Norway sovereign fund’s offloading Li Ning is triggering some worries in the HK markets, tech companies reporting lower results due to regulations, US delisting fears for dual listing China companies, Covid cases increasing both in mainland china and HK. Its a never ending list of fear and uncertainty for the HK market. It is possible for a test of around 20k for HK before some bargain hunting comes in. Indicators are currently oversold too. Trading has been tough in HK market and we haven’t been giving any alerts for the HK markets for while. Waiting for a more stability in HK first.

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE!

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

 

 

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