trendline analysis

GKE Corp – Ran Up As Blogged Yesterday

Kelwin & Roy GKE Corp , , , , , , , , ,
6th April, 2017, 10:41 PM

GKE Corp – Ran Up As Blogged Yesterdaygke

GKE Corp ran up today after we mentioned it last night. Using simple technical analysis and a trendline  which we drew for all to see last night yield quite a positive result. It does take some time to learn to draw those trendline but we’re happy to teach..Volume came in around afternoon and it broke past the horizontal resistance of 0.185.

GKE Corp was up close to 5% intra day but we always like to go slow and steady. We’re still hopefully for our 0.194 target but will access the situation accordingly.  GKE Corp was the few stock that closed up despite the weak market sentiment.

Remember your trailing stop loss and have a great weekend .

Yours

Humbly

GKE Corp

Kelwin & Roy GKE Corp , , , , , , , , ,
6th April, 2017, 12:14 AM

gke

GKE has broken out of its downtrend line and is on our watchlist. The volume wasn’t as good as we hope for it to be hence we are watching it for the next few days to see if it can sustain above the downtrend line.

Our entry could be from 0.182 -0.183 with an upside target of 0.194. We can see that at 0.185 there is some resistance but it should be able to clear it if volume comes in.

Our stop loss would be about 0.170. So we would manage our trade size for this trade.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

Asiaphos- Up 10% and close to our target during intraday high

Kelwin & Roy Asiaphos , , , , , , , , ,
1st April, 2017, 12:59 AM

Asiaphos- Up 10% and close to our target during intraday high

Asiaphos 31 mar 2017

Asiaphos, which we shared on the blog just yesterday,  had more than a 10% run up today during its intraday high of 0.118 which was very close to our target of 0.120. We hope some profits were booked , it had a wide swing through the day closing at 0.103 which was slightly below yesterday close of 0.104, before Asiaphos asked for a trading halt.

Some News were released just this evening , more can be read here. The News does not seems that good so let us see how it trades on Monday where the trading halt will be lifted in the morning.

Remember we did say that trading such penny stock will be very volatile , hence ensure proper stop loss and appropriate position sizing is VERY Important for risk management.

Want to know more on how to trade such a stock. Do drop us an email and we’ll be glad to share like how we share with our clients.

As for its chart , if it breaks below the 0.105  resistance level now turned support level , the stock may fall back to the next support level of 0.095 follow by 0.086 and 0.079 as the next 2 possible support levels.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

Asiaphos – Surged Up With Volume

Kelwin & Roy Asiaphos , , , , , , , , ,
30th March, 2017, 10:21 PM

Asiaphos – Surged Up With Volumeasiaphos

Asiaphos is a company solely focused on exploring and mining phosphate in the PRC with the ability to manufacture and produce phosphate-based chemical products. More can be read over here .

Asiaphos has caught our attention because there was a huge surge in volume today and it has broken out of its long term trendline. The volume increased today was quite significant and such volume has never been since for a few years. Hence we are taking note of this stock.

There is just a horizontal resistance at 0.105and if it clears that we might see 0.12 eventually. How would we play such a stock at this point? We will either wait for a retracement to the downtrend line and if that supports around 0.095-0.098 region then we might consider an entry OR if it decides to break the 0.105 resistance.

As this is a micro penny stock , STOP LOSS is very important and we would manage our lot size accordingly too. Our stop loss would be 0.093-0.095. Also as a micro penny stock it can have wide swings too so do take note of that.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

Noble Group – Moved Up Today

Kelwin & Roy Noble Group , , , , , , , ,
29th March, 2017, 11:16 PM

Noble Group – Moved Up Today noble

Noble Group had a nice upside swing today just after we posted last night .  It moved to a high of 0.197 closing in to our target of 20 cents region. So what do we do now?

As we can see from the chart there was an increased in volume today so we’re hoping for it to move further in the coming days. As some have asked how we manage our trades. Each stock will have a slight difference in how we manage our trade . As for Noble Group, we would usually take some profit if the stock has ran quite a bit in the day or shift up our trailing stop loss in order to protect our profits.

Do remember to find your own comfort level in trading as everyone has a different style and tolerance level.  The weekend is drawing near and traders usually take some profit off the table on fridays so do be a little cautious and stay alert.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

Noble Group – Moving Up?

Kelwin & Roy Noble Group , , , , , , , ,
29th March, 2017, 1:23 AM

Noble Group – Moving Up? noble

Noble Group has came down since our last blog post on it in end feb when we were mentioned that it has hit the resistance. It went down below what we expected but seem to built a base around the 0.183 region. It has since then started to move up slightly.

Noble has caught our attention once again and it looks like it might try to make an upwards movement towards 0.20-0.21.  Our stop loss would be at 0.183 level. If it breaks 0.183 level then we might expect more downside.

There are some announcement on Noble Group which you can read over here regarding their Share consolidation and their 2016 annual report.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

 

 

STI – Broken Below the 20 Days Moving Average

Kelwin & Roy STI, Straits times index , , , , , , , , ,
22nd March, 2017, 10:50 PM

STI – Broken Below the 20 Days Moving Average

The STI or straits times index has caught our attention because it has finally closed below the 20 days moving average.

From the chart we can see that the STI has stayed above the 20 days moving average for the last 3 months and even when it tried to break down it managed to rebound from it. But for today things look a little different. STI has finally closed below the 20MA hence we should take note of it.

It also coincides with our uptrend line and the horizontal support lines. With that we might be looking at further downside if those support breaks. The STI component stocks or blue chips would be the one leading the STI downwards so one can either short the STI or look for the component stocks to short.

We’re looking at the next support of around 3076 and will update further according to market condition. We’ll use poems CFD to short the straits time index.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

Keppel Corp – Down To Our Target, Rebound Next?

Kelwin & Roy Keppel Corp , , , , , , , , ,
16th March, 2017, 12:57 AM

Keppel Corp –  Down To Our Target, Rebound Next?Keppel Corp

Keppel Corp has been down for the last two weeks since we were blogged it .It was at $7.22 when we mentioned that it was a little high and needed to pull back. It has now reached our lower uptrend line and looks supported.

We’re hoping for it to have some rebound from here and if it doesn’t it could signal more downside .

Our upside entry would be at current spot price of around 6.65 with a stop loss of 6.53-6.55. Our first upside target might be 6.85

Some factors to take note would be oil prices. Oil has been falling for the last week and if it continues to fall then Keppel Corp might be dragged down.  The next factor would be the interest rate decision but more importantly janet yellen’s tone and speech going forward. The number of times interest rate will hike also will play a role.

So if our support breaks we might be prepared to go the other way.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

Property Cooling Measures Tweaked – What Shall We Do Next?

Kelwin & Roy Capitaland, Chip Eng Seng, Guocoland, Property Cooling Measures Tweaked, Wing Tai , , , , , , , , ,
12th March, 2017, 12:00 AM

Property Cooling Measures Tweaked – What Shall We Do Next?

On Friday just before noon, Singapore government announced some targeted tweaks to the property market cooling measures.

These are some of the main ones:

A reduction of existing  Seller’s Stamp Duty (SSD) rates for residential properties

  • Changes will see the SSD holding period cut from four years to three years
  • SSD rates will also be lowered by four percentage points for each tier
  • The rates apply to all homes bought on or after March 11

Current framework for the Total Debt Servicing Ratio (TDSR) will be relaxed. The 60% TDSR threshold will no longer apply to mortgage equity withdrawal loans with loan-tovalue ratios of 50% and below.

A new stamp Duty called the Additional Conveyance Duties (ACD) was introduced.

More of the tweaked cooling measures can be read here .

When the news was announced , you can just imagine what happened to our property counters in Singapore.

The FTSE ST Real Estate Holding and Development Index was up 2.5 per cent to 827.74 at 1.50pm.

CapitaLand jumped as much as 6.2 per cent to a high of S$3.79 each before closing at S$3.70, or a 3.6 per cent gain on the day.

City Developments shares soared to a high of S$10.59, or a 10.2 per cent rise, before ending with a 5.6 per cent gain at S$10.15.

Wing Tai was up 8.8 per cent to S$1.96 before closing at $1.935

It was a crazy afternoon instead and if you chased property counters immediately you would have some decent returns . We’ll just cover some counters over here and see how it plays out on monday.  News is out and now people are taking time to understand how much impact would this easing really be and could there be more easing coming along? Has the market overreacted on friday?  Did our property counters run before even the news came out?

We’ll take a look at a few charts and let you decide.

Capitaland 

cland

Capitaland resistance can be seen at 3.69-3.71 . If that breaks we could see potential upside to 3.90 . The swings could be wild as traders might be taking profit for those who bought earlier. Support or stop loss : 3.66 or 3.52

Wing Tai 

Wingtai

Wing tai surged a lot too and reached resistance too. Resistance at 1.935 then 1.96. If those break we might see $2 or even $2.06. The support would be 1.86 or the resistance turn support of 1.935. Always remember your stop loss.

Chip Eng Seng

CES

Chip Eng Seng closed above its previous day high of 0.745. If it manage to stay above that next potential target could be 0.765 then 0.78. The support is at 0.73.

Guocoland 

Guoc

Guocoland at least managed to break above it’s mid term downtrend line but couldn’t close above it horizontal resistance of 1.90. A close above that might see it move to 1.945 and if momentum continues could see it cover gap to 1.985. Support or stop loss would be 1.865.

Do remember your risk and comfort level in chasing or even shorting on monday. For those who prefer a little less volatility you could wait for the dust to settle before deciding on a direction .

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

Keppel Corp – Oil Down So Is Keppel Corp

Kelwin & Roy Keppel Corp , , , , , , , , ,
9th March, 2017, 11:34 PM

Keppel Corp – Oil Down So Is Keppel CorpKC

Keppel Corp was a stock we blogged exactly a week back mentioning that it was high and needed a break. It hit our upper trend line and started to pull back. It was at around $7.22 when we spotted it and hit a day low of $6.77. A nice downside for a singapore blue chip. We hope our readers managed to benefit from our sharing once again.

So where to now as some of you have asked. The immediate support for Keppel Corp is around 6.76-6.78.It is also around the 20 days moving average.So it’s a double support for us.  If there is further weakness and breaking that support, we could see it hit our lower uptrend line of 6.65-6.70. Oil in the recent days have been taking a beating hence our oil related counters are not spared.

What could happen is that either Keppel Corp goes for a rebound and starts turning down and that’s where we would consider another short entry. Or if it breaks 6.76 then we might consider entry. Remember we’re using Poems CFD to hold our shorts and not naked short

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy.