The Week Ahead Aug 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

21st August, 2022, 2:56 PM

After a month’s long rally, its about time for US markets to pullback. S&P500 indicators are currently in an overbought state and some pullback in the markets is expected and normal. GDP data for the US will be out this thursday  indicating if the economy is diving further into recession and could add further tension to the markets.

STI

STI saw a pullback as mentioned but has not gone down to our target yet so there might be more downside for the STI in the coming week. Banks are pulling back which will cause the index to pullback too. But despite some weakness, we saw tourism related stocks doing well for the last week before a pullback came. Looking for some short opportunity next week.

HSI

HSI hasn’t rebound last week as we expected but the rebound might be closing in as HSI looks to stabilize itself and build a base. The support of around 20k is holding and most tech companies have reported their results. Tencent despite missing estimates and its first time for revenue declining managed to still see its stock price move up. Alibaba is also holding up well and we might see some rebound coming soon too. Our upside rebound target for HSI is at 21262.

Head over to our Facebook for more updates on the US markets.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

 

The Week Ahead Aug 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

31st July, 2022, 9:49 PM

A BIG week went by and it yield a positive result for us. Fed increased rates by 0.75%, GDP shrank for the second month in the US and big tech results mostly came under estimates  BUT despite these challenges the S&P500 closed up for the week. Data is important but remember to watch the price action to see if its showing weakness. Despite all the data that came out, one might have expected markets to continue to come down but it did the total opposite which shows strength. This rebound does look like it has a bit more room to go before it hits the critical resistance of 4200 for the S&P 500.

HSI

Still no bullish sign for HSI as it continues it downwards move towards our 20k support.  We’re still waiting for more bullish signals to come out before any short term trades to be executed. There has been a string of negative news for HSI recently hence the pullback. The property scene in HK is not stable yet with property counters still not out of the woods. The next possible downside target might be 19200. Keeping watch.

STI

STI did much better than its peers in the region and outperforming the HSI for this week. It has reached our target upside resistance of around 3249 and pulled back ever since then. Banks led the way but gave up its gain on Friday as traders took profit after a good week. Counters like yzj shipbldg and First Resources also a nice upside leading it to hit our targets this week. Once a healthy pullback is done we might see STI moving back up to 3297 region. Be fast and nimble under such market condition.

Head over to our Facebook for more updates on the S&P500 and Nasdaq which has both shown strength through the week.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead July 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

17th July, 2022, 3:30 PM

Did you see what happen last week? CPI numbers were out and it was higher than expected coming in at 9.1% which sent the market down at the start BUT actually recovered during the week. US markets did show some resilience and ended up for the week. This is not reversal yet but does show that markets are temporary ignoring these data. US earnings are are also coming out with JP Morgan having a lower quarter while Citibank beating results. Its too early to tell now but we will want to watch for more earnings before making any conclusion. For now we can see that S&P 500 and Nasdaq100 has strong resistance at the 50ema.

HSI

Weakness spotted in HSI which is a good thing if you’re a longer term investor and have missed the first wave for the Hang Seng. It is approaching our 20k downside target. Increase in Covid cases, growth rate slowing caused the downside in HK last week. For this week we continue to look for opportunity for long term holders to take a position as HSI is coming close to the 20k mark. We’ll watch for a base to form if not our next support would be 19300.

 

STI

STI couldn’t break the resistance we drew and came off after that . Immediate support at 3089. STI still looks weak and mainly guided by the banks. If banks start to break their support, we might see STI test the low of 3040. STI continues to be in a range and our local market has been lackluster and there hasn’t been much happening. Opportunity lies in HK and US for now so focusing more on those markets.

Head over to our facebook for more updates on S&P500 and Nasdaq for the potential levels we are looking at.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

 

 

The Week Ahead June 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

26th June, 2022, 4:42 PM

 

Its the end of the school holidays! We hope you had spend some quality and quantity time with your kids and family. It was an exciting week especially for the Hong Kong market which gained strength and saw very good gains overall. US also saw some positive action towards the end of the week with Nasdaq breaking out from its consolidation. Is the bull finally back? Read on to find out more.

Some things to note, market saw a pullback in commodity prices like oil, palm oil and coal stocks are starting to retreat too. This could give a short term relief rally for the markets but all eyes still on inflation data which will continue to lead the market. The 10 year yield has also retraced which continues to boost markets especially the Nasdaq.

HSI

A very nice rally for the hong kong market as it burst through its 5ema which we mentioned last week. Auto stocks saw a nice jump on govt stimulus which we also spoke about. Many stocks in Hong Kong are displaying strength in which we have seen for the last year and its good to have some focus on the Hong Kong market. As for the week, we are looking for more upside to around 22397 which is around the horizontal resistance. HKEX , Xiaomi are also looking good for next week. Remember once again if you’re trading or investing in HK markets as your approach to the market would be very different. As for investors, we have mentioned quite a few times to slowly average in due to our bullish view on it whereas for trading we’ll need a bullish momentum for it.

STI 

STI has also rebound off our support line which we drawn last week but the rebound we saw wasn’t anything strong as predicted. It came to the downtrend line and started hovering around it. For the week, we might see a move up towards 3146 area which is also around the 20ema. Wilmar is one stock we’re looking at with interest! Reits for investment has also shown strength through the week which we have informed our clients!

The week is shaping up to be a better one so be alert and make good use of it!

Head over to our facebook for more updates on S&P500 and Nasdaq for the potential levels we are looking at.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

 

The Week Ahead June 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

19th June, 2022, 3:24 PM

Fed has raised rates by 0.75% on persistent inflation. Inflation wasn’t slowing down in June which left the fed to increase increase rates by 0.75%. Markets continue to look upon inflation numbers and if it doesn’t slow down then more rate hikes are going to be expected with the next one in July. An interesting thing that we’ve been mentioning is that despite US making new lows, the Hong Kong market which we’ve been covering extensively has actually been resilient. With good news flowing out of HK we continue to be bullish and believe in the recovery of that market.

HSI 

HSI has retraced to our short term uptrend line but is currently resisted at the 5ema. It has formed a higher low which is healthy in a larger reversal cycle. For long term holders, congrats as HSI is finally seeing some positive light with positive news flow coming out more and more. Even with the recent downside in US, HK has been holding up well with 20k a good support to continue to scale in. For this week, a break above the 5ema might signal more bullish signal and a test of 22k might be possible.

STI 

STI has hit some some around 3072 but a more significant support is around 3035 area. That is a still a chance that STI might hit that support before any sustained rebound that comes. Singapore markets is still trying to find its footing and there hasn’t been any sustained rally so far. STI might rally to that downtrend line of around 3120 before getting resisted. We’ll await more confirmation before making any moves.

Head over to our facebook for more updates on S&P500 and Nasdaq for the potential levels we are looking at.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

 

The Week Ahead June 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

5th June, 2022, 4:29 PM

The Week Ahead June 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Market around the world didn’t end Friday on a high note as traders looked to book profits. Oil broke out during the week as market tried to find footing despite Euro’s inflation numbers coming out hotter than expected. Inflation number is still what market is looking out for as a higher inflation might force the hands of fed to increase interest at a much higher than anticipated pace.

This coming Friday would see the Core CPI numbers which measures the changes in the price of goods and services, excluding food and energy  a sense of where inflation is.

STI

STI tried to break above our resistance but didn’t manage to have a clean and successful break. We added in an extra short  term uptrend line which might act as a support. STI is still trying to gain some form of momentum but if the upside can’t hold then we need to be cautious.  For the moment, we still see opportunity on the long side as we from our previous post on the Electronic sector with AEM taking the lead and UMS having a breakout on Friday. OLAM in particular is also doing well. So there are pocket of opportunities!

HSI 

HSI has reached our upside target and beyond before a pull back. The rebound has came in as previously mentioned very good given current market conditions. We have drawn a short term uptrend line which will act as the support for any downside for now. For this week, we’re expecting some consolidation for HSI and unless we see the 5ema being broken above then we’ll look for a long opportunity. The good thing about HSI is that its making a higher low and it shouldn’t pullback beyond 20k if not our uptrend is invalid.

Head over to our facebook for more updates on S&P500 and Nasdaq for the potential levels we are looking at.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead May 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

29th May, 2022, 3:36 PM

The Week Ahead May 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Markets especially in the West saw more of a rebound while Asia markets tried their best to remain positive for the week. S&P 500 managed to close above the 20ema which hasn’t happen for the last few months. In the fed minutes meeting this week , they continue to take an aggressive stance towards inflation but market has seem to be used to the idea of a rising interest rate and didn’t react much. Things are looking up for the week so do read on to find out more.

STI

STI saw weakness at the start of the week but managed to fight its way back to close flat for the week. Banks are shaping up in the market as DBS manages to stay above its 5ema. A positive for a short term rebound. STI is currently above the downtrend line which is a good sign so we might see it break above the 20ema to move up to 3297 for the coming weeks. Looking out for rebound opportunities for our local markets.

HSI

HSI also managed to break the downtrend which we drew and mentioned last week signaling a promising rebound. It is also above the 20ema and might challenge the 21262 level and maybe even higher for the week. Shanghai is edging towards opening up while Beijing is easing up which are positive signs for the Chinese markets. Looking for more upside for the week and even for oil related stocks for some rebound.

Keep a look out for the potential rebound and as usual, don’t overleverage on your position as no one knows if this is the true bottom for the markets or even how high this rebound might go to. For traders, it is utmost importance to be fast to react and with June approaching, markets will be looking to inflation data once again for more directions.

Head over to our facebook for more updates on S&P500 and Nasdaq for the potential levels we are looking at.

Yours

Hubmly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead May 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

22nd May, 2022, 11:31 AM

The Week Ahead May 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

What a  week for the markets! Very interesting set ups for each markets and there’s so much happening. China cutting interest rates and shanghai coming out of lockdown very soon. china government looking to support the tech sector and stop regulations, giving a boost to the tech sector. US inflation is looking to soften.  The S&P 500 dipped into bear market territory but managed to close above that. Could this be the start of a sustained rebound? Do remember to check out all our updates on our Facebook too!

STI

The bounce came in for STI as regional market tries to find their footing and ended up on a positive note for the week. STI currently near the horizontal resistance of around 3249 but we do think that its possible for more upside as the banks for building a base and might look to rebound in the coming week. Upside resistance at 3297 to cover that  mini gap.

HSI

HSI cautious moved up during the week and ended with a bang as China cuts their interest rates which gave the market a much need boost. It is now at the important downtrend resistance line. Its the third time testing this line and usually it takes about 4 times for a stronger break. But with news of a interest rate cut, this might help in the push up so we’re looking for a break and even a test of around 22390 level in the coming weeks. Remember this is more for short term trading. For Long term holders, if you have been following us then you probably might have a position in the HSI already. So continue to hold for that and wait for the bigger recovery to come.

Have a great trading week ahead!

And do go to our Facebook for Nasdaq and S&P 500 updates.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin & Roy

The Week Ahead May 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

16th May, 2022, 5:36 PM
The Week Ahead May 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Another crazy week as inflation came in HOT but higher than april’s number. Although inflation slowed down but it didn’t slow down as much and market saw another slam dunk. Towards the end of the week, market saw some relief  but was still down for the week. Well, will be just be a dead cat bounce or the end of the correction? To be honest, no one knows but what matters most is your time frame. Whether you’re a trader or investor. And that will make a difference.

STI

As expected, STI pulled back last week but came off more than expected. Some support drawn on the chart and for now, the 5ema would act as a resistance now and would look for that to break above before any bullish move made. Looking for some rebound for the week as markets in the US are generally oversold. So some relief rally could potentially bring in some rally here.

HSI

HSI broke the 20k support as mentioned and head down to our first support. During the week, some news came out that china govt will be meeting the tech companies for discussion with regards to the crackdown. This helped market out as we saw a general rebound in tech stocks. HSI is currently above the 5ema but still below the downtrend line and the 20ema line in yellow. cautious bullish but not going in full size in terms of trading as HSI always comes down even after good news.

Head over to our face book page for analysis on S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy

The Week Ahead May 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

8th May, 2022, 4:28 PM

The Week Ahead May 2022 – [STI, HSI, NASDAQ & S&P]

Another volatile week as US markets swung to both the up and down and settled down at the end of the week. Markets around the world continue to face downwards pressure as Fed increased rates last week and the 10 year yield curve crossed over the 3% mark. We continue to watch and wait for more signals for the  US markets.

Key Events to Watch For 

US companies continue to report their results this week and also on Wednesday, the US CPI numbers will be released.

Wednesday – CPI numbers

Thursday – US PPI

Markets will probably be watching these numbers to see how inflation has been so far.

STI

STI was in range for the week and is now sitting at our support of around 3297. The support doesn’t look like it might hold as market hasn’t found a firm footing yet. The next downside support is at around the 3250 area. But meanwhile, there are still pocket of stocks still moving up like the coal related stocks. Our local banks are also taking a break and might see further downwards momentum.

HSI

HSI also came off to the support of 20k once again and it does not seem like it’ll hold at this price. Short term as mentioned we’re not bullish as yet as HSI can’t break the downtrend line and can’t remain above the 5ema too. Downside support at around 19490 level as HSI continues to find a base.

For more analysis on the US market and where it might head to, you can click HERE

Have a good week ahead!

Yours

Humbly

Kelwin&Roy