Since our Blog post on Sti one week ago, it had a nice downside to around today low of 3209 area which is quite close to our 3200 target support . Despite other markets having some rally for the past week ( e.g S&P500 had a new record closing this week) , Sti was instead trading in a sideway range closing at 3220 today, which is a indication of weakness .
We can also see the 20ma remains below the 50ma , which is a further indication of Sti weakness. If Sti were to continue its slide and break below the 3200 support level , the next support level may be 3166 follow by 3150 which could be a important support level as it is also its 200ma level.
For Index trading , We usually use a zone to determine the support and resistance level .
Want to know more on how we managed to spot such a move ?
We’ll be having a training seminar next Tuesday where we’ll be sharing our trading setups for Free so do join us if you’re keen to learn by simply register HERE
Did you get caught in the recent volatile Price movement of Rowsley in July? Tried catching the bottom but ended up having a big hole in your wallet? Want to avoid such mistakes in future? A similar event also happened in Best World.
And we, Kelwin and Roy, have listed out the Top 10 common trading mistakes which we observed from our clients over the years. Why is this important? Because such events will happen again and Will YOU be able to benefit from it?
So here are the Top 10 common trading mistakes that we often observed:
1. Trading without a Trade Plan
Clique as it sounds but when you fail to plan, you plan to fail.
This is a common trait we find in many of our clients from our years of observation. Very often they will go into a trade without any trade plan ie ENTRY PRICE , STOP LOSS and PROFIT TARGET .
Most would rush in because the stock has suddenly moved up, but when the stock suddenly comes to a grinding halt and moves down, panic sets in and doubt starts to arise. Hope starts to fill their emotion and stop loss become a no no to them at this point.
Trading without a Trade Plan is like walking in the wildness and hoping to come out alive. Well, only a few do survive and live to tell the tale while most get crawled by the bears and bitten by the snakes and barely make it out alive.
“So in short, HAVE a TRADE PLAN and trade what you plan and don’t go off course.”
2. Trying to Find the Holy Grail of Trading
Truth be told, We also would like to find the holy grail in trading. Want the brutal and honest truth? There isn’t!! If anyone claims he has it, Let us know, We also want to know. Good things must share!
We always hear this regret from our clients lamenting that they have spent thousands of dollars attending different courses out there, but still losing money trading the market.
Many retail traders often jump from one strategy to another. When the strategy they just learnt do not make them money on their trades they give up and try something new or attend another course ploughing thousands of dollars with the hope of finding that holy grail
“We suggest traders should find a method that suits them and keep working and refining that strategy while having stop loss to manage their risks.
Successful traders are Masters of their trading strategies. And often they use only 1 or 2 trading strategies which they are comfortable with.”
3. Letting the losses run
We have seen many good traders drop out of the trading game, due to big losses. These big losses could be attributed to either
Not cutting the losses in time and letting their losses run
Being complacent with a few winning trades and not wanting to cut loss because you know it all.
Trading too big Quantity for their Trades (which we will talk later in the points below)
“Successful traders are discipline in their cut loss, they will exit a trade once it hit their stop loss levels before proceeding to ask themselves what went wrong with the trade (e.g what news is causing the stock to go against them etc). This is important as they know that capital preservation is crucial to staying in the trading game and one big loss is all it takes to wipe out their trading capital. They are comfortable in cutting small losses and reposition themselves again in their next trade.”
4. Trading too big a size beyond one’s comfortable level
Very often we observed that some clients will use the same lot size for all their trades without regards for their stop loss level from their entry price and they only realised the magnitude of their losses when they exited their trades.
For instance assume same trade size, a trade setup with a 10 cents stop loss, will potentially incur double the loss amount, compared to a trade setup with a 5 cents stop loss.
With just a few bad trades, some could incur huge losses due to trading too large Quantity of shares per trade.
“To avoid such mistake, one should first determine the amount he is prepared to risk (loss) for each trade, then determine the entry and stop loss price for the trade. With this 3 variables determined, the trader can then determine the Quantity of shares he should enter using a simple formula.
This useful formula is often shared in our regular client seminars, so do sign up and open a trading account with us, if you would like to be educated on how to use this simple and useful formula.”
5. Failing to take profits
Greed is often the culprit for this. When a stock goes to the target profit zone, some traders may decide to wait for a while and hope for further movement in their favour. This is where we observed greed may set in and they fail to take their profits only for the stock to reverse and start going against them.
Profit to loss is probably one of the greatest stock market sin and to avoid such mistake, we may humbly suggest considering the 3 possible actions to protect your profits.
Take all profits when the stock goes to your target profit area
Take partial profit at the first target profit area while trailing your stop loss on the balance of your position to protect the profits for your balance positions.
Trail your stop loss, if you intend to hold all your position for higher potential profits.
“It’s important to Remember it is not possible to take profits at the highest level so it is always good to book some profits along the way when the trade is in your favour.”
6. Averaging Down or Up on a losing position
What goes up must come down and what goes down will come up? Most hold on to this saying, hence averaging down on a losing long position believing it will come up one day. But if we take the case of Noble which used to be $2 + and only worth 40+ cents now after consolidation. Or even Cosco in its hay day, then we will know the risk of averaging down in a losing position.
“To avoid such pitfall, traders should Never add to losing positions and must cut their losses when the stock reaches their stop loss point.”
7. Overtrading (Holding too many positions)
When a trader holds too many positions at once and the market suddenly goes against him, it may overwhelm the trader as he got many positions and do not know what to do with them.
The reason is if he were to cut all his positions at once, he would incur big losses as even though each of his trade loss is a comfortable amount for him. Having too many positions at once also make the trader difficult to monitor all his positions.
It is also wise not to hold too many stocks in the same sector. For example, holding all three bank stocks in your portfolio. Well, if all move up then good for you but the moment they come down you might suffer a serious setback. It is good to diversify into a few sectors in your portfolio.
Hence it is important to know the maximum of positions that you are comfortable to hold when trading the markets and ensure you are aware of the total risks of the positions.
“There is no magic number on this, but maximum 4-5 trading positions at any time should be a good number for most people to handle.”
8. Listening to hot tips and not doing own homework
“I heard…..This counter got some news ar?” We get comments and questions just like these as rumours make their way around the market. Clients often get trap chasing a stock after hearing some rumours.
It can be tempting as this stock could the next big one. Or a potential takeover could happen. Forums are often littered with such ‘tips’ so the best advise we can give is to go back to the chart and come up with a trade plan. NEVER rush into a stock just because your friend or broker tells you so. Do your homework. You Reap what you Sow
“If you need an extra pair of eyes to help you along, you can always Contact Us. We’ll be glad to guide you for free!”
9. Not keeping a Trading Journal
One secret of a successful trader is to keep records. Unlike love which keeps no record of right and wrong doings, A disciplined trader keeps track of his trades.
“Detailing down each of your trades in a trading journal is vital, mistakes and wins should all be recorded so that you can do a detailed review to see what is needed to be twigged in future.”
10. No Proper Training
Lastly, if you have not got any training and want to trade, well it is kind of like a layman taking on a boxing champion which we know what the results will be.
You will either come out badly bruised or worst-case scenario ends up in the hospital.
Likewise for trading, without proper training, the market will be brutal and will come at you and chew you up.
“We do conduct free training for our clients in order to equip them for the fierce battle. So are you ready? Click here to know more about our awesome training.”
So here we have summarised the Top 10 Trading mistakes that we have observed from our clients, during our career as stockbroker. We hope these mistakes that we pointed out will help you greatly in analysing your trading areas of improvements and become a better trader!
Many have been asking our view on the Straits Time Index so we’ll just share our humble view.
From a technical perspective, we can see the 20ma cutting the 50ma from above and this hasn’t happen for a year. Adding to that September is a seasonally lousier month for stocks. We would like to er on the side of caution and not be heavy long in the market yet until a clearer sign is shown. Trump’s tax reform and North Korea missile test are some factors holding the market hostage. The Moving Average are now acting as the resistance so unless a break above those could be strength to us.
We can see that whenever the straits time index try to rally, the rebound gets a little weaker and its starting to form a lower high in that sense. Recently it tried to break above 3250 but failed. Its support is currently around 3225 region and a break below that could send it down to a strong support of 3200 area first.
Market is also frustrating as its up one day and down the other. We advise looking at individual chart as some stocks are still displaying some strength.
This is just a short sharing but feel free to Contact US if you like to discuss more.
OCBC bank has an interesting set up. It is part of the STI component and the banks caused a drag to the STI index today. Of course not forgetting the worry that comes from North Korea testing its nuclear capability.
OCBC bank had a nice uptrend since the start of the year. It had a gap up just on last Thursday but got slammed down this morning and even crossed below its 50MA which hasn’t happen since April.
It is now currently supported by the horizontal support at 10.92. If it breaks below and stays below that we might see more downside. Our entry might be below 10.92 with a stop loss either at 11.04 or 11.15 which is the downtrend resistance.
We would be using Poems CFD to short and if you would like to find out more about CFD feel free to Contact Us and we’ll be glad to assist you in understanding CFD.
Golden Energy a coal related stock which we blogged less than a week ago made a very nice recovery of more than 10% moving to a day high of 0.475.
A nice volume came in since we spotted the breakout at 0.42. It touched 0.42 three times and broke out. It is marching on towards our eventual target but of course being prudent we would want to shift our trailing stop up in order to protect our profits.
Want to know more about how we select stocks? Or want to know how we been spotting stocks during the recent rebound? Simply Contact Us and we’ll be more than willing to share with you.
Silverlake Axis is on our watch list as we’re watching for a potential break above the horizontal resistance line of 0.61. Staying above that would be considered strong.
Our entry might be 0.615 with a stop loss of 0.58.
Our concern would be that its results could be out today after market or next week. So we’re playing into results could be a potential danger as we won’t know how the stock will swing after results. So we will manage our risk accordingly and knowing what we’re going into.
Yzj Shipping came down as we posted last Friday. The upper trend line did act as a resistance and it came sailing down.
It has came down about 4% since entry and is now hovering around the middle trend line. Our eventual target might be around 1.50 which is the upper trend line support. From there we will look at the market conditions again. We’ll also move our trailing stop down to at least 1.605. So the worse case we break even.
Recently Coal related stocks had some movement like Geo Energy and blackgold natural. We’ll be watching Golden Energy for this round.
What we like is that the base has been tested twice at around 0.36 and started to move and even breaking the downtrend line we drew. It is currently resisted by the 0.42 horizontal line but we might see it break through it in the coming days. The moving average are starting to slope up too.
Our entry would be 0.42 on wards with a stop loss of either 0.40 or 0.36. Golden Energy looks more like a swing trade so we’ll take it nice and slow. The rebound target ultimately could be at 50 cents.
Best World has been very volatile in the last few days even causing a circuit breaker on Friday .
We been getting some questions on Best World like whether one can chase it. Or where to buy? Can short now? If you have been following our postings on best world and ever since it broke the lower support channel line is has gone down furiously. Could one have shorted there? What are some of the considerations if one were to take a short position there.
We’ll be sharing insight not only on Best World but strategies that can be repeated time after time. In our upcoming free workshop you can also learn how to get out of a stock even before it crashes and where are the potential areas for re entry.
Simply register HERE and we’ll see you this coming Wednesday
Yzj Shipping has had a fantastic run the last two weeks or so but the momentum seems to be slowing down.
The Upper trend line seems to be resisting it from running further hence it might suggest some pullback in the making. It is currently consolidating around the box region which we have drawn.
Our trade plan might be to look for a short entry at around 1.62-160 area with a tight stop loss at 1.645, or when it breaks below the 5 days moving average which has been supporting it of around 1.575.
We’ll be watching for the momentum if it breaks above 1.645.
Want to learn more about our simple trading strategy which you have witnessed on our blog. Simply register here and we’ll be more than willing to impart our knowledge with you. Also we’ll be sharing how you can be included in our timing whats app alert.